Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 55.632908 65.106905 75.412715 87.418808 100.982444 115.791381 133.142403
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 41.835070 54.663029 69.885465 89.116479 112.584181 140.103391 174.610421
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 30.582464 43.817068 60.685370 83.419454 112.872902 149.327668 197.389079
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 25.799985 39.839848 58.788365 85.651613 122.086193 169.046954 233.291630
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 21.314735 35.325178 55.269431 84.882099 126.730823 182.634977 261.617121
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 19.498398 34.267094 56.230012 90.077827 139.497559 207.391273 305.732812
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 15.603530 29.359028 50.869654 85.447637 137.803217 211.983675 322.388668
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 14.081057 27.997171 50.650802 88.294001 146.922127 231.978891 361.209535
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 13.347051 27.837916 52.254820 93.984812 160.534082 258.999120 411.166765
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 12.138562 26.637602 51.971593 96.553933 169.405422 279.379854 452.288842
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 10.910118 25.201434 51.094697 97.995454 176.480824 297.284627 490.394724
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 9.517936 23.221020 49.017222 97.169221 179.750757 309.410855 520.197679
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.323309 21.594383 47.663823 97.959403 186.546141 328.640647 563.833852
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.335166 20.250722 46.723287 99.484250 194.854744 351.017872 613.987043
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.712923 17.122560 41.840581 93.203092 189.146312 350.362647 627.719467
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.142613 16.352107 41.610309 95.648295 198.905415 375.507953 683.786708
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.388381 14.941803 39.813919 94.804022 202.573264 390.535387 723.931815
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 4.199864 14.991684 41.217359 100.500122 218.663670 427.448292 801.706705
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.342522 12.958025 37.593546 95.424241 214.026470 428.187495 818.878431
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.077379 12.596959 37.838974 98.545060 225.316709 457.381174 885.407635
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.995491 12.790272 39.456445 104.780146 243.072629 498.843163 974.489256
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.749463 12.391985 39.537284 107.593128 254.150591 528.691763 1044.467387
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.474524 11.823055 39.097629 109.170993 262.796961 554.434474 1108.142939